Hurricane Lee: latest spaghetti models, track (2024)

METEOROLOGIST GRIFFIN HARDY IN FOR PARELLA LEWIS THIS MORNING. CLOUDY SKIES OVER THE UPSTATE THIS MORNING AFTER THOSE SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT WERE PRETTY LOUD IN GREENVILLE LAST NIGHT AT AROUND NINE, 10:00 IS WHEN THEY REALLY CAME RUSHING THROUGH DOWNTOWN. TEMPERATURES OUTSIDE THIS MORNING AS YOU HEAD OUT THE DOOR MID TO UPPER 60S, A BIT ON THE COOLER SIDE. DOESN’T FEEL TOO COOL, THOUGH. THE MUGGINESS IS STILL IN THE AIR FOR SURE, BUT FEELING PRETTY COOL IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH LOW 60S OUT THERE THERE THIS MORNING, AS WELL AS SOME DENSE FOG THAT’S DEVELOPED IN JACKSON COUNTY AND MACON COUNTY. BEAR THAT IN MIND IF YOU’RE DRIVING IN THIS AREA. THE FOG IS ESPECIALLY THICK UP THERE. WE’LL BE WATCHING FOR SOME MORE FOG TO DEVELOP IN THE UPSTATE THIS MORNING. BUT AT LEAST FOR THE MOMENT, DOESN’T LOOK TOO, TOO BAD OUTSIDE WITH NO BIG VISIBILITY ISSUES, THE RAIN HAS SUBSIDED AND PUSHED DOWN TO THE SOUTH. BUT THOSE STORMS THAT CAME THROUGH YESTERDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WERE PRETTY STRONG. WE HAD SOME DIME SIZED HAIL THAT FELL IN DOWNTOWN CLEMSON, NEAR HIGHWAY 76 AND STATE HIGHWAY 93 OVER INTO SPARTANBURG COUNTY. THE HAIL WAS REALLY IMPRESSIVE. GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL, 1.8IN IN DIAMETER NEAR BOILING SPRINGS ALSO HAD SOME REPORTS OF TREES THAT WERE KNOCKED DOWN TO THE NORTHEAST OF BOILING SPRINGS, AS WELL AS THAT STORM TURNED SEVERE, THE RAIN FOR THE MOMENT IS DOWN TO THE SOUTH TOWARDS SAVANNAH AND HILTON HEAD. IT’S ALL HAPPENING. THANKS TO A UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WHICH YOU CAN SEE REALLY WELL ON THE WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY. WINDS COMING OUT OF THE NORTH TO THE WEST OF IT. THEN OUT OF THE SOUTH, GOING TO THE EAST OF IT. SO IT IS BRINGING A COLD FRONT OUR WAY DOWN AT THE SURFACE, BUT IT’S NOT REALLY GOING TO BE SWEEPING ITS WAY THROUGH. SO IT’S LIKELY GOING TO STALL TO THE WEST AND KEEP THE RAIN CHANCES KIND OF ELEVATED FOR FORTUNATELY NOT FOR TODAY. I THINK THE DRIER AIR WINS OUT FOR TODAY, BUT SATURDAY AND FOR SUNDAY, THE MOISTURE DOES LOOK TO COME BACK. SO HERE’S WHAT THAT LOOKS LIKE FOR THE REST OF THE DAY TODAY. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS. I THINK OVERALL, A GOOD DAY TO EAT LUNCH OUTSIDE FOR SURE WITH LOW TO MID 80S WHERE TEMPERATURES AT AROUND LUNCHTIME UM, WITH MOSTLY SUNSHINE HEADING INTO THE AFTERNOON. WE CAN’T RULE OUT SOME STRAY SHOWERS DEVELOPING IN THE UPSTATE NORTHEAST GEORGIA. BUT THAT RAIN CHANCE PRETTY LOW FOR TODAY AT 20% AS TEMPERATURES TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 80S BETTER CHANCE OVERALL IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AT AROUND 30% FOR THE REST OF YOUR EVENING TONIGHT, KEEPING WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AGAIN CAN’T RULE OUT A STRAY SHOWER BUT MOST OF US STAY DRY INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WE KEEP WITH ALSO MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS. BUT THEN SATURDAY, LATE MORNING AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON, THE RAIN COVERAGE DEFINITELY MORE NUMEROUS HEADING INTO TOMORROW. SO PLAN AHEAD FOR SOME POP UP DOWNPOURS AND SOME RUMBLES OF THUNDER AT TIMES WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON. IT WON’T BE A COMPLETE WASHOUT. THERE WILL BE SUNSHINE AT TIMES, BUT BETTER CHANCE OVERALL FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE WET WEATHER HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. LET’S TALK TROPICS. WE’VE GOT TROPICAL STORM MARCO AND WHAT IS NOW A MAJOR, MAJOR HURRICANE IN HURRICANE LEE, FATHER IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. LET’S START WITH TROPICAL STORM MARCO. IT’S ONE OF THOSE CLASSIC CAPE VERDE STORMS THAT CAME OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA. BUT THE GOOD NEWS IS IT IS LIKELY GOING TO TURN TO THE NORTH, INTENSIFYING INTO A HURRICANE, BUT NOT IMPACTING ANY MAJOR LANDMASS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SO SOMETHING THAT WE’RE KEEPING OUR EYES ON AS LEE IS A LITTLE BIT CLOSER TO HOME AND THIS STORM, MAN, OH, MAN, IT HAS INTENSIFIED INTO A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE WITH 160 MILE PER HOUR WINDS. WHAT’S BEEN JUST REALLY ASTOUNDING FROM A METEOROLOGICAL PERSPECTIVE IS HOW FAST IT’S INTENSIFIED. AND AT 11:00 YESTERDAY MORNING, 11 A.M., THE PRESSURE WAS AT 983 MILLIBARS. AND AT 11 P.M. LAST NIGHT, 928 IS WHAT THE PRESSURE DROPPED TO. SO 55 MILLIBARS IS HOW MUCH IT DROPPED IN 12 HOURS. JUST A REALLY, REALLY BREAKNECK PACE OF INTENSIFICATION. IT’LL PROBABLY PEAK IN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS A CATEGORY FIVE, THEN WEAKEN BACK DOWN TO A CATEGORY FOUR BY SUNDAY NIGHT AS IT TRACKS UP TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AND THEN ONCE IT MAKES IT TO TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, IT WILL LIKELY MAKE THAT TURN HARD RIGHT TURN TO THE NORTH, PAST BERMUDA. IT’S STILL KIND OF UP FOR DEBATE. HOW FAR WEST IT MAKES THAT TURN. PROBABLY NOT FAR WEST ENOUGH FOR REALLY THE CAROLINAS TO SEE ANY DIRECT IMPACTS FROM THE STORM. BUT PLACES LIKE NEW ENGLAND AND NOVA SCOTIA, DEFINITELY, POSSIBLY IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INTO LATE NEXT WEEK AFTER IT MAKES THAT TURN AND MAKES MAKES A BIG RACE TO THE TO THE NORTH AS A HYBRID STORM. SO SOMETHING THEY’LL BE KEEPING THEIR EYES ON HEADING INTO LATE NEXT WEEK. IN THE MEANTIME, THOUGH, HERE’S YOUR FOR TODAY MOSTLY SUNNY FOR TODAY. RAIN CHANCE AT AROUND 20%. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR SATURDAY WITH SOME PEEKS OF SUNSHINE MIXED IN SCATTERED RAIN. CHANCES FOR SUNDAY AT AROUND 50%, DRYING OUT FOR MONDAY. TEMPERATURES STAYING IN THE LOW 80S OVER THE WEEKEND. THAT’S THE GOOD NEWS IS THE 90S ARE ON HOLD FOR A WHILE FOR TUESDAY WE STAY PARTLY CLOUDY. WEDNESDAY WE GET WHAT LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER COLD FRONT. SO A 40% CHANCE OF RAIN THERE. COOLER ON THURSDAY. BACK BEHIND THAT FRONT AS HIGHS DROP DOWN TO THE UPPER 70S. SO THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE PRETTY COMFORTABLE FOR SURE. A WEEK FROM NOW, FOUR-DAY PLUS TO THE MOUNTAINS LOOKS LIKE THIS. BETTER RAIN CHANCES OVERALL 30% FOR TODAY, 80% FOR TOMORROW. AND STAYING NUMEROUS WITH THE SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR SUNDAY, 20% FOR MONDAY, 30% TUESDAY. THE FRONT COMES THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY AND WE’RE DRYING OUT AND TURNING A LITTLE COOLER HEADING INTO NEXT THURSDAY AS HIGH STRAPPED DOWN TO THE MID 70S BY THE LATER PART