Hurricane Lee: latest spaghetti models, track (2024)

Hurricane Lee spaghetti models, track

METEOROLOGIST GRIFFIN HARDY IN FOR PARELLA LEWIS THIS MORNING. CLOUDY SKIES OVER THE UPSTATE THIS MORNING AFTER THOSE SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT WERE PRETTY LOUD IN GREENVILLE LAST NIGHT AT AROUND NINE, 10:00 IS WHEN THEY REALLY CAME RUSHING THROUGH DOWNTOWN. TEMPERATURES OUTSIDE THIS MORNING AS YOU HEAD OUT THE DOOR MID TO UPPER 60S, A BIT ON THE COOLER SIDE. DOESN’T FEEL TOO COOL, THOUGH. THE MUGGINESS IS STILL IN THE AIR FOR SURE, BUT FEELING PRETTY COOL IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH LOW 60S OUT THERE THERE THIS MORNING, AS WELL AS SOME DENSE FOG THAT’S DEVELOPED IN JACKSON COUNTY AND MACON COUNTY. BEAR THAT IN MIND IF YOU’RE DRIVING IN THIS AREA. THE FOG IS ESPECIALLY THICK UP THERE. WE’LL BE WATCHING FOR SOME MORE FOG TO DEVELOP IN THE UPSTATE THIS MORNING. BUT AT LEAST FOR THE MOMENT, DOESN’T LOOK TOO, TOO BAD OUTSIDE WITH NO BIG VISIBILITY ISSUES, THE RAIN HAS SUBSIDED AND PUSHED DOWN TO THE SOUTH. BUT THOSE STORMS THAT CAME THROUGH YESTERDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WERE PRETTY STRONG. WE HAD SOME DIME SIZED HAIL THAT FELL IN DOWNTOWN CLEMSON, NEAR HIGHWAY 76 AND STATE HIGHWAY 93 OVER INTO SPARTANBURG COUNTY. THE HAIL WAS REALLY IMPRESSIVE. GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL, 1.8IN IN DIAMETER NEAR BOILING SPRINGS ALSO HAD SOME REPORTS OF TREES THAT WERE KNOCKED DOWN TO THE NORTHEAST OF BOILING SPRINGS, AS WELL AS THAT STORM TURNED SEVERE, THE RAIN FOR THE MOMENT IS DOWN TO THE SOUTH TOWARDS SAVANNAH AND HILTON HEAD. IT’S ALL HAPPENING. THANKS TO A UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WHICH YOU CAN SEE REALLY WELL ON THE WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY. WINDS COMING OUT OF THE NORTH TO THE WEST OF IT. THEN OUT OF THE SOUTH, GOING TO THE EAST OF IT. SO IT IS BRINGING A COLD FRONT OUR WAY DOWN AT THE SURFACE, BUT IT’S NOT REALLY GOING TO BE SWEEPING ITS WAY THROUGH. SO IT’S LIKELY GOING TO STALL TO THE WEST AND KEEP THE RAIN CHANCES KIND OF ELEVATED FOR FORTUNATELY NOT FOR TODAY. I THINK THE DRIER AIR WINS OUT FOR TODAY, BUT SATURDAY AND FOR SUNDAY, THE MOISTURE DOES LOOK TO COME BACK. SO HERE’S WHAT THAT LOOKS LIKE FOR THE REST OF THE DAY TODAY. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS. I THINK OVERALL, A GOOD DAY TO EAT LUNCH OUTSIDE FOR SURE WITH LOW TO MID 80S WHERE TEMPERATURES AT AROUND LUNCHTIME UM, WITH MOSTLY SUNSHINE HEADING INTO THE AFTERNOON. WE CAN’T RULE OUT SOME STRAY SHOWERS DEVELOPING IN THE UPSTATE NORTHEAST GEORGIA. BUT THAT RAIN CHANCE PRETTY LOW FOR TODAY AT 20% AS TEMPERATURES TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 80S BETTER CHANCE OVERALL IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AT AROUND 30% FOR THE REST OF YOUR EVENING TONIGHT, KEEPING WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AGAIN CAN’T RULE OUT A STRAY SHOWER BUT MOST OF US STAY DRY INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WE KEEP WITH ALSO MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS. BUT THEN SATURDAY, LATE MORNING AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON, THE RAIN COVERAGE DEFINITELY MORE NUMEROUS HEADING INTO TOMORROW. SO PLAN AHEAD FOR SOME POP UP DOWNPOURS AND SOME RUMBLES OF THUNDER AT TIMES WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON. IT WON’T BE A COMPLETE WASHOUT. THERE WILL BE SUNSHINE AT TIMES, BUT BETTER CHANCE OVERALL FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE WET WEATHER HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. LET’S TALK TROPICS. WE’VE GOT TROPICAL STORM MARCO AND WHAT IS NOW A MAJOR, MAJOR HURRICANE IN HURRICANE LEE, FATHER IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. LET’S START WITH TROPICAL STORM MARCO. IT’S ONE OF THOSE CLASSIC CAPE VERDE STORMS THAT CAME OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA. BUT THE GOOD NEWS IS IT IS LIKELY GOING TO TURN TO THE NORTH, INTENSIFYING INTO A HURRICANE, BUT NOT IMPACTING ANY MAJOR LANDMASS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SO SOMETHING THAT WE’RE KEEPING OUR EYES ON AS LEE IS A LITTLE BIT CLOSER TO HOME AND THIS STORM, MAN, OH, MAN, IT HAS INTENSIFIED INTO A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE WITH 160 MILE PER HOUR WINDS. WHAT’S BEEN JUST REALLY ASTOUNDING FROM A METEOROLOGICAL PERSPECTIVE IS HOW FAST IT’S INTENSIFIED. AND AT 11:00 YESTERDAY MORNING, 11 A.M., THE PRESSURE WAS AT 983 MILLIBARS. AND AT 11 P.M. LAST NIGHT, 928 IS WHAT THE PRESSURE DROPPED TO. SO 55 MILLIBARS IS HOW MUCH IT DROPPED IN 12 HOURS. JUST A REALLY, REALLY BREAKNECK PACE OF INTENSIFICATION. IT’LL PROBABLY PEAK IN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS A CATEGORY FIVE, THEN WEAKEN BACK DOWN TO A CATEGORY FOUR BY SUNDAY NIGHT AS IT TRACKS UP TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AND THEN ONCE IT MAKES IT TO TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, IT WILL LIKELY MAKE THAT TURN HARD RIGHT TURN TO THE NORTH, PAST BERMUDA. IT’S STILL KIND OF UP FOR DEBATE. HOW FAR WEST IT MAKES THAT TURN. PROBABLY NOT FAR WEST ENOUGH FOR REALLY THE CAROLINAS TO SEE ANY DIRECT IMPACTS FROM THE STORM. BUT PLACES LIKE NEW ENGLAND AND NOVA SCOTIA, DEFINITELY, POSSIBLY IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INTO LATE NEXT WEEK AFTER IT MAKES THAT TURN AND MAKES MAKES A BIG RACE TO THE TO THE NORTH AS A HYBRID STORM. SO SOMETHING THEY’LL BE KEEPING THEIR EYES ON HEADING INTO LATE NEXT WEEK. IN THE MEANTIME, THOUGH, HERE’S YOUR FOR TODAY MOSTLY SUNNY FOR TODAY. RAIN CHANCE AT AROUND 20%. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR SATURDAY WITH SOME PEEKS OF SUNSHINE MIXED IN SCATTERED RAIN. CHANCES FOR SUNDAY AT AROUND 50%, DRYING OUT FOR MONDAY. TEMPERATURES STAYING IN THE LOW 80S OVER THE WEEKEND. THAT’S THE GOOD NEWS IS THE 90S ARE ON HOLD FOR A WHILE FOR TUESDAY WE STAY PARTLY CLOUDY. WEDNESDAY WE GET WHAT LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER COLD FRONT. SO A 40% CHANCE OF RAIN THERE. COOLER ON THURSDAY. BACK BEHIND THAT FRONT AS HIGHS DROP DOWN TO THE UPPER 70S. SO THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE PRETTY COMFORTABLE FOR SURE. A WEEK FROM NOW, FOUR-DAY PLUS TO THE MOUNTAINS LOOKS LIKE THIS. BETTER RAIN CHANCES OVERALL 30% FOR TODAY, 80% FOR TOMORROW. AND STAYING NUMEROUS WITH THE SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR SUNDAY, 20% FOR MONDAY, 30% TUESDAY. THE FRONT COMES THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY AND WE’RE DRYING OUT AND TURNING A LITTLE COOLER HEADING INTO NEXT THURSDAY AS HIGH STRAPPED DOWN TO THE MID 70S BY THE LATER PART

Hurricane Lee is a strong category 5 storm as it approaches the southeastern U.S. As of right now, the models show the winds will steer the hurricane up toward Bermuda, but it’s still too early to tell. We will continue to watch it closely and keep you updated. (Watch video above for the latest from the WYFF News 4 weather team)

GREENVILLE, S.C. —

Hurricane Lee is a strong category 5 storm as it approaches the southeastern U.S.

As of right now, the models show the winds will steer the hurricane up toward Bermuda, but it’s still too early to tell.

We will continue to watch it closely and keep you updated.

(Watch video above for the latest from the WYFF News 4 weather team)

Hurricane Lee: latest spaghetti models, track (1)

Hurricane Stats

Hurricane Lee: latest spaghetti models, track (2)

Spaghetti Models

Hurricane Lee: latest spaghetti models, track (3)

Hurricane Track

Hurricane Lee: latest spaghetti models, track (2024)

FAQs

What is the Hurricane Lee projected path? ›

Lee could bring strong, gusty winds from Rhode Island to Boston to Maine. The heaviest rain, wind and storm surge will be from Cape Cod to Bar Harbor, Maine, from Friday night through Saturday. Hurricane conditions are possible in eastern Maine. Up to 4 feet of storm surge is possible on Cape Cod and Nantucket.

What was the spaghetti projection for Hurricane Lee? ›

A spaghetti model for Lee created Tuesday, seen below, showed most projected paths skirting along the U.S. coast at least up to New England, with a potential impact along the northern New England coast or Canadian Maritimes late this week.

Which spaghetti model is most accurate? ›

The European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting Model (ECMWF) is widely considered the best for predicting global weather patterns and has been beating the other models in terms of accuracy, but looking to rely on one model over another isn't the correct approach, said National Weather Service Meteorologist ...

What are the spaghetti strings for hurricanes? ›

These models consist of multiple forecast tracks generated by different weather prediction models, all plotted on the same map. The resulting image resembles strands of spaghetti; thus, the name.

Where will Hurricane Lee make landfall? ›

Lee made landfall on Sept. 13 in Eastern Canada, in regions such as Newfoundland, Labrador, Nova Scotia, New Brunswick and Prince Edward Islands. The effects of the storm caused strong currents all along the east coast, and high winds in Maine.

Is Hurricane Lee hitting North Carolina? ›

Though Lee is not expected to come ashore near North Carolina, the storm will generate dangerously rough seas and rip currents along our coast and most of the eastern seaboard.

Is it possible that Hurricane Lee will hit Florida? ›

Hurricane Lee won't hit Florida, but waves, rough surf and dangerous rip currents will.

Do spaghetti plots display storm size? ›

An additional limitation spaghetti models have is that they don't show any representation of intensity or size of a particular storm. These are represented on different charts, usually for individual storms.

Will Hurricane Lee hit upstate New York? ›

While the National Hurricane Center does not forecast Lee to have a direct impact on New York State, dangerous surf and rip currents are forecast to impact most of the east coast this coming week, including the potential for beach flooding and erosion in high-risk spots along New York's coastlines.

Have hurricane spaghetti models been wrong? ›

Their accuracy can vary, but they are a valuable tool for tracking storms. The more closely the paths align, the more confident meteorologists are in the forecast. However, predicting the exact path of a hurricane is challenging, so it's essential to stay updated with official forecasts from meteorological agencies.

Who has the most accurate hurricane models? ›

In 2021, the GFS was the most accurate model followed by the European. Overall, the official forecast was the most accurate in terms of forecast track accuracy. The NHC also relies heavily on consensus models. The TVCN is a popular choice for tropical track forecasting.

What hurricane model does NOAA use? ›

The Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS) is NOAA's next-generation numerical model and data assimilation system developed within the framework of the Uniform Forecast System (UFS).

What are the 2 holes in a spaghetti spoon for? ›

Team Measure believes the hole is there as a tool to help you cook the right quantity of pasta. Instead of guessing how much spaghetti to add to the pot (and, inevitably making too much), the hole is used as a guide, filling it per person as needed.

What do hurricane spaghetti models mean? ›

A spaghetti model does not forecast a storm's strength or potential impact. They are a simple way of communicating where a storm may travel given the data available at the time. Generally, they are used by meteorologists to give a geographical range to the public.

What hurricane made a loop? ›

In this way, you can get a loop, as occurred with Jeanne in 2004 before its eventual Florida landfall. Hurricane Juan in 1985 did even better, looping twice near the Louisiana coast. Of course, that slow movement near land led to massive, widespread flooding in Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and Florida.

What path is hurricane Lisa expected to take? ›

The Hurricane Center is projecting a landfall somewhere in Belize, though Mexico's Yucatán Peninsula, Honduras, Guatemala and El Salvador can all expect impacts in the form of heavy rainfall. Tropical storm watches are in effect for Jamaica as the storm's northern reaches may brush the island on Monday.

Is Hurricane Lee expected to hit New York? ›

While the National Hurricane Center does not forecast Lee to have a direct impact on New York State, dangerous surf and rip currents are forecast to impact most of the east coast this coming week, including the potential for beach flooding and erosion in high-risk spots along New York's coastlines.

Will Hurricane Lee impact flights? ›

Lee made landfall in Canada on Saturday as a post-tropical cyclone, bringing heavy rainfall, powerful winds and storm surge to parts of New England and southeastern Canada. Some flights and cruises in those areas have been affected as the storm barreled up the Atlantic coast.

Is Hurricane Lee going to hit Boston? ›

Hurricane Lee won't directly hit Massachusetts, but it is expected to bring severe weather impacts to the commonwealth starting Friday.

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